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If You Want The Tories Out, Voting Labour Is Not Always Your Best Alternative

I love a bit of comedy as much as the next person, but I do sometimes wish comedians would stay out of politics.

In 2015 Russell Brand advised young people not to vote as part of his personal philosophy of half-baked revolution. As a result he bears some of the blame for a Conservative majority borne on the backs of the large number of older voters who didn’t see the 2 minutes it took to mark an X on a ballot sheet as so desperately uncool.

This time we have Ricky Gervais leaping into the fray with this tweet :

“OK. I’m not telling you how to vote, but this is a fact. The only vote that will keep Theresa May out is a vote for @jeremycorbyn. Cheers”

Whilst not quite so devoid of acumen as Brand’s ill-conceived advice, Ricky’s more well meaning call to action could be equally as dangerous.

Essentially he IS telling his fans how to vote, and his less politically astute followers may not realise the pitfalls of such a binary choice.

The reality is that in many constituencies a vote for Corybn will not keep Theresa May out. The real fact is that it may do the exact opposite.

Sadly, even after repeated calls from other parties to enter into an ad-hoc alliance, Labour has resolutely refused to stand aside in any constituency. Whereas, for example, The Green Party has done so now in well over 30 seats.

In many of those seats the Libdems have a much better chance of winning than Labour. In some others the Greens or the SNP could have it in the bag. Voting Labour could then very well help the Tories by splitting the opposition.

By selling the idea that a vote for Labour is a vote against the Tories, no matter where you are, The Labour party and many of its supporters could be handing another victory to the Conservatives.

I’m not usually an advocate of tactical voting, but needs must when the devil drives, and I see the devil behind the eyes of the Conservatives. But tactical voting has to be just that. It doesn’t simply mean voting Labour as the only alternative.

Under our broken electoral system the only place votes really count are in marginal constituencies. Until we get electoral reform and a system of proportional representation, that won’t change. And let’s not forget that Labour supports our first past the post system just as much as the Tories do.

But even in a safe seat your vote can make a real difference. In 2015 UKIP gave the Conservatives a real run for their money. Even though they only won one seat in Parliament they put the Tories on notice that they were there, close behind, snapping at their heels.

The result was the delivery of a referendum on EU membership and the subsequent lurch to the right that followed in the footsteps of Theresa May. The Conservative manifesto, such as it is, represents one of the most extreme right outlooks for the UK for many generations. It makes Margaret Thatcher’s vision look like a tie-dyed, rose tinted call to action for the love generation. It has even been compared to the BNP’s warped ideological ramblings from the 1980s, and not without cause.

This can be directly traced to UKIP’s influence and its validation of ideals that make a hard line, right wing agenda more palatable to people who wouldn’t dream of dancing to the tune of more overtly hard right parties.

Likewise the nomination and election of Jeremy Corbyn can, to a large extent, be laid at the feet of the Green Party. There can’t be many Greens who haven’t noticed just how many of our clothes have recently been stolen by Corbyn’s party. And many of us are happy to be standing here in our underwear, glad that so many of our policies have been subsumed into the Labour manifesto. The sincerest form of flattery and all that.

But it has to be remembered that the rise of Green membership and our increasing success in both national and local elections is arguably a major driving force behind Labour’s newly rediscovered left wing credentials and a strong Green vote will help them keep that focus.

Voting for parties that may not be mainstream, and may not have a chance of winning is not a wasted vote. Even less so in constituencies where the seat is safer than a Roy Chubby Brown joke at a UKIP convention. A vote for the party that more closely reflects your views has a demonstrable impact on those do so to a lesser extent.

In the case of Labour, voting for them in constituencies they can’t win may not just prevent other parties from doing so, it also reinforces the status quo of a de facto two party state and removes Labour’s incentive to join an alliance or support electoral reform if, as is still being predicted, they don’t have a majority on June 9th.

Even if Labour were to win, there’s a very good chance that Corbyn could be unseated early on in his reign, by a parliamentary party who still don’t wholeheartedly support him. Without the threat of other left wing alternatives looking over their shoulders, it’s entirely possible that Labour will drift back to the same Tory-lite, neoliberalism that they were so conformable with last time.

So unless you have a realistic opportunity of a tactical vote in your constituency, just voting for the ‘other guy’ (or gal) won’t send any sort of message other than a validation of entrenched positions.

If you’re not going to see real change this time around. If your vote is only going to be lost in a sea of others who voted forlornly for the a close second, or the next best thing, use it to support those who will affect real change in the longer term by holding toes to the fire in the meantime.

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BBC Radio Oxford Banbury Election Debate

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For those who missed this on Wednesday you can now listen again to me and all the other candidates debating the issues and answering questions from listeners.

Particularly lively on the future of the Horton Hospital and the future of small businesses after Brexit and Victoria Prentis explains why she supports the overturning of the current ban on fox hunting and would like to see more hunting and shooting in the constituency.

The debate starts 2 hours into the programme linked below

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Planned Tory Education Cuts in North Oxfordshire Make For Terrifying Reading

EDUDespite claims to the contrary, the Conservatives will devastate our education system if they’re given another 5 years to do so.

Their dogmatic pursuit of so called savings (otherwise known as cuts) have already put the future of many children in jeopardy.

As with so many of their policies there’s very little left to cut now and faced with the choice of either reducing teaching staff or removing subjects, teachers and head teachers have had to resort to begging letters to parents just to keep some classes viable.

It’s an atrocious situation which, as usual, the Conservatives are in total denial of.  Claiming, as they always do, that they have put ‘record’ levels of funding into education (as they also claim for health and so many other important services).  But the devil is in the detail, with funding per pupil actually falling as class sizes increase.

Regardless of claims to the contrary in their cobbled-together, un-costed manifesto, there are more cuts to come.  But you don’t have to take my word for it, just look at the information available on the schools cuts website

These bare facts come from the people who know what’s happening to our schools.  The teachers at the sharp end of the Conservative agenda.  While these backward looking politicians wax lyrical about the good old grammar school days, our schools are being run into the ground and sold off to private companies to asset strip for a quick buck or two.

This needs to stop now.  Education is too important to be undersold, under-funded, undermined and treated as an optional extra in one of the richest economies in the world.

Read what The Green Party would do about education in government and then read below what you can expect from another 5 years of Tory rule.  The choice seems pretty stark to me.

KEY STATS FOR Banbury 2020

£5,526,507  in total cuts
Average budget cut to schools  = £115,13
Average budget cut per pupil = £346
Total number of teachers lost = 154

98% OF SCHOOLS IN Banbury WILL HAVE CUTS

Banbury Academy   -£234,985

Bishop Carpenter Church of England Aided Primary School   -£24,837

Bishop Loveday Church of England Primary School     -£119,733

Blessed George Napier Catholic School and Sports College -£261,047

Bloxham Church of England Primary School      -£147,027

Brookside Primary School -£73,999

Bure Park Primary School -£132,153

Chesterton Church of England Voluntary Aided Primary School        -£40,971

Christopher Rawlins Church of England Voluntary Aided Primary School    -£67,460

Cropredy Church of England Primary School     -£60,654

Dashwood Banbury Academy       -£166,382

Deddington Church of England Primary School             -£73,626

Dr Radcliffe’s Church of England School            -£73,142

Finmere Church of England Primary School       -£21,030

Five Acres Primary School             -£100,258

Fringford Church of England Primary School     -£35,925

Fritwell Church of England Primary School         -£54,028

Glory Farm Primary School            -£94,195

Hanwell Fields Community School           -£433,772

Hardwick Primary School   -£72,049

Harriers Banbury Academy            -£90,134

Hill View Primary School    -£90,094

Hook Norton Church of England Primary School           -£79,293

Hornton Primary School     -£42,305

King’s Meadow Primary School     -£97,312

Langford Village Community School        -£118,724

Launton Church of England Primary School       -£62,507

Longfields Primary and Nursery School -£80,488

North Oxfordshire Academy           -£418,763

Orchard Fields Community School           -£124,646

Queensway School -£58,434

Shenington Church of England Primary School             -£34,053

Sibford Gower Endowed Primary School            -£17,582

Southwold County Primary School           -£126,712

Space Studio Banbury        -£76,148

St Edburg’s Church of England (VA) School      -£13,984

St John’s Catholic Primary School, Banbury      -£50,648

St Joseph’s Catholic Primary School, Banbury -£47,279

St Leonard’s Church of England Primary School           -£107,479

St Mary’s Catholic Primary School, Bicester       -£57,696

St Mary’s Church of England (VC) Primary School, Banbury -£56,436

The Bicester School            -£317,716

The Cooper School -£471,621

The Grange Community Primary School             -£109,691

The Warriner School           -£385,461

William Morris Primary School      -£83,950

Wroxton Church of England Primary School      -£20,078